Izaqhwithi ziziganeko zemozulu, ezibonwa ngemifanekiso yesathelayithi, zinomtsalane ngokwenene. Kodwa emhlabeni izinto ziyatshintsha. Zinokubangela umonakalo omkhulu, ukusa kwinqanaba lokuba kubekho nokufa kwabantu.
Kulo nyaka, ngokutsho kweengcali, kulindeleke izivunguvungu ezilishumi elinesibini kwi-Atlantiki, apho ezintlanu ziya kuba ziinkanyamba, ezimbini zazo ezinamandla kakhulu, ngexesha lonyaka umsebenzi walo uya kuba. umyinge. Ixesha lenkanyamba eliqala ngokusesikweni ngomhla woku-1 kuJuni.
Kulo nyaka ukubunjwa kwezitshingitshane kuya kuchaphazeleka ngokuncipha kwe-El Niño phenomenon kunye namaqondo obushushu aphantsi kuMntla weAtlantiki. Umphandi kunye nenkokeli yeprojekthi uPhilip J. Klotzbach weYunivesithi yaseColorado State (CSU) uthe ngexesha leNkomfa yeSizwe yeTropical Climate eSouth Padre Island, eTexas, ukuba balindele ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba kubekho iinkanyamba ezinkulu ezenza umhlaba kunxweme lwase-United States kunye nolwandle. IiCaribbean. Ukucacisa ngakumbi, wabonisa ukuba kukho a I-50% ithuba lokuba inkanyamba iya kuchaphazela unxweme lwe-Atlantic yase-US, kunye ne-30% ithuba lokuba iya kufikelela eFlorida okanye eGulf of Mexico. Ngokubhekiselele kwiCaribbean, amathuba a 40%.
UKlotzbach kunye neqela lakhe benza uqikelelo lwabo minyaka le. Olu pho nonongo lwenziwa ngokuhlalutya iminyaka eyi-29 yedatha yembali kwiinkanyamba. Ngo-2016, baxela kwangaphambili izaqhwithi ezilishumi elinambini ezithi, kunye, Ziya kusebenza iintsuku ezingama-50. Kwaba balishumi elinesibini, kuya kubakho abahlanu abaya kuba ziinkanyamba, ezimbini kuzo zibe namandla kakhulu.
UKlotzbach waphinda wathi Ekuphela kwento efunekayo kukuba inkanyamba yenze indawo yokuhlala ukuze ithathwe njengexesha elisebenzayo laloo ndawo., kungakhathaliseki ukuba ungakanani umsebenzi wenkanyamba oye waxelwa kwangaphambili, ngoko kubaluleke kakhulu ukunikela ingqalelo kwizilumkiso zemozulu ukuze iingxaki zalo naluphi na uhlobo zingaveli.