I-El Niño phenomenon iye yahlalutywa amashumi eminyaka kulandela ipatistiki yeenkcukacha-manani ezibonisa ifuthe lokuguquguquka kwemeteorological kwimijikelo yokulandelelana kwale nto. Ngokutsho kwesifundo esitsha esivelisa imodeli ebonakalayo esekwe kumanqanaba okuzamazama komhlaba kunye nokuchaneka okuphezulu kwengqikelelo ithi into ka-El Niño kufuneka iphononongwe.
Isihloko sesi sifundo sibizwa ngokuba "Unxibelelwano olulahlekileyo kwisizukulwana se-El Niño" kwaye salungiswa sisazinzulu saseSpain uFernando Mato kunye no-Greek Theofilos Toulkeridis, kwaye yapapashwa kuhlelo lwayo lwamva nje yijenali ekhethekileyo "Inzululwazi yeTsunami Iingozi ". Ngaba uyafuna ukwazi ukuba olu phononongo lumalunga nantoni?
Iimfihlakalo zika-El Niño
Ngokwababhali bolu phando, kuye kwenzeka ukuba kufunyaniswe esona sizathu siphambili sokuba kutheni le meko yemozulu yenzeka. Kude kube ngoku ukusebenza kwayo kuyaziwa nje ukuba iqala ukwenzeka, kodwa ukuxela kwakhe bekusoloko kunzima kakhulu.
"Oku kufunyanisiweyo, okwesihlandlo sokuqala okunika imvelaphi yesenzeko se-El Niño, kubonisa utshintsho kwiparadigm kuyo yonke into ebikade icingelwa kwaye emva koko kwiimodeli zemozulu zehlabathi," ucacise watsho uFernando Mato, PhD kwi-Telecommunications kwiDyunivesithi yaseVigo ( Spain) kunye nomphandi we-Prometheus kwiDyunivesithi yase-Armed Forces ESPE eQuito.
Ubudlelwane phakathi kwenyikima
Ukusukela olu hlobo lwento luqale ukufundwa, uphononongo lujolise ekunxibelelaniseni ezi ziganeko kubushushu bomhlaba wolwandle, umoya ojikelezayo okanye uxinzelelo. Nangona kunjalo, isitshixo sokufumanisa ikukucingisisa ngokutsha le modeli.
Ubudlelwane beenyikima buye bafundwa kwaye unxibelelwano olucacileyo lufunyenwe phakathi kokunyuka okukhulu kwenyikima kwimimandla efumaneka kwiPasifiki Plate (ebangelwe kukuhamba kwe-telluric kwimida yayo) kwaye ukulandelelana kwe-El Niño.
"Ibhanti lePacific lihlanganisa malunga neepesenti ezingama-90 zomsebenzi wenyikima kwinqanaba lehlabathi kwaye kukho izifundo ezidlulileyo ezifumene unxibelelwano oluthile, kodwa azibonisanga ukuba obu budlelwane buyintoni," utshilo umphandi.
"Sifunde umphandle wePacific Plate safumanisa Unxibelelwano phakathi kwe-El Niño phenomenon xa isenzeka ngamandla okanye ngamandla, ngokonyuka kwenyikima kwiindawo ezithile ", ucacisile.
Njengomsebenzi wenyikima uyanda ePacific, izixa ezikhulu zemagma plumes ziveliswa eziphelela kumphezulu wolwandle. Ezintsiba zinamaqondo obushushu phakathi kwe-400 kunye ne-1200 degrees kwaye zolula phantse i-800 yeekhilomitha.
Ndiyabulela kolu phando, kuqinisekisiwe ukuba ayizukubakho into ye-El Niño kutsha nje kuba iimeko ezifanelekileyo azikho kuyo.